The Enhanced Gore Effect

 

Tourists enjoy the snow in Las Vegas, December 17, 2008. Photograph by John Gurzinski, Las Vegas Review Journal.

Tourists enjoy the snow in Las Vegas, December 17, 2008. Photograph by John Gurzinski, Las Vegas Review Journal.

Another post about snow? But aren’t these anecdotal stories superficial compared to the great weight of NASA’s temperature measuring system and the analysis of the Great Oz himself, James Hansen? Three points:

(1) Anecdotal information is inherently valuable. It can be over-extrapolated, but if it is ignored in an effort to seem scientific, that has its own perils.

(2) The spate of record-breaking snow events in London, New Orleans (and many other locations in the U.S. South), and now Las Vegas are anything but isolated events but rather are part of a pattern. That pattern was predicted by many people who dispute the overarching power of carbon dioxide to drive temperatures, including myself.

(3) The double-barreled climate drivers that those of us predicting a switchover to a period of falling temperatures have emphasized are the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, which I have written about elsewhere on this blog, and the current deep solar minimum.

In the SkyNews story that follows about the Vegas snow event, the reporter manages to pick up on the fact that the storm was the biggest snow-maker in Las Vegas in 30 years and the biggest snow-maker in December, ever. Those of us watching the pendulum gather momentum as it starts to swing against Al Gore and his army of global warming doomsayers have noticed that the likelihood of a cold-weather event is heightened if Gore decides to have a press opportunity in a given location. The so-called “Gore effect” has been repeated in multiple countries.

Well, as these “extreme” cases of snow, ice, and cold proliferate (and they will continue to do so), it will slowly become clear that Mr. Gore was not physically present at each location. That has led me to theorize about a significant new phenomenon that I have called “The Enhanced Gore Effect.” For the Enhanced Gore Effect to become operative, all Gore needs to do is think of going to a specific location for the elements to unleash. Evidently, he recently thought of going to Vegas, which can now thank the High Priest of Heat for their lovely mantle of white.

SkyNews article follows. (For complete article, click here.)

It’s the worst storm in 30 years, as three inches of snowfall has been forecasted to settle on the palm trees and casinos of the famous Las Vegas strip.

Other parts of the city are expecting as much as eight inches of snow, in the week’s second snowstorm.

Schools have been closed due to snow for the first time in three decades, as the city struggles to cope with the wintry conditions.

Some holidaymakers have been forced to extend their holidays, as all flights in and out of the city are cancelled.

They’ve flocked to the landmark “Welcome to Fabulous Las Vegas” sign – now covered in snow – to have their photos taken of the rare sight.

National Weather Service Meteorologist Andrew Gorelow said the three inches of snow set to settle on the strip would break the current December record of two inches, set in 1967.

But he said it wouldn’t match the Las Vegas winter record of nine inches, set in 1974.

The wintry weather has been blamed on a powerful wet Pacific storm combined with a rare Arctic chill.

Bear in mind, readers, that it is the position of your host that warming was never bad for Earth’s eco-system (least of all for human beings), that scare tactics do not science make, and that most reasonable people will have to decide not whether to withdraw from the Holy Anthropogenic Global Warming Apostolic Church but when to do so.

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About Harold Ambler

I am a lifelong environmentalist. I started my journalism career at The New Yorker, where I worked as a copy editor. Since then, my own work has appeared in The New York Daily News, The National Review Online, The Atlantic Wire, The Huffington Post, The Berkeley Daily Planet, The Providence Journal, Brown Alumni Monthly, The Narragansett Times, Rhode Island Monthly, and Providence Business News.
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17 Responses to The Enhanced Gore Effect

  1. John A says:

    Hi Harold,

    I’ve just read through your weblog and I’m enjoying your writing style.

    Could I suggest, just for the sake of reading clarity, that quotations like the one above be put in blockquotes rather than just italics? It would make it easier to discern what you’re writing from what you’re quoting, because the human eye gets used to font changes very quickly.

    Keep watching CA (as I do)

  2. Mister Jones says:

    A welcome thaw is in progress near Nanaimo, Vancouver Island, after over ten unseasonal days of snow disrupted travel and services. Some two and a half feet of snow has fallen locally. Fog is currently disrupting flights to Vancouver. Warmer I can cope with.

    • Harold Ambler says:

      I have visited Vancouver Island twice and hope to see it again. My great-aunt, Margaret Peterson, lived there for decades and was one of the first non-native Canadians to be welcomed into a longhouse for a number of ceremonies, experiences that influenced her work as a painter and mosaic artist. I am told that it is both quite pristine and quite exploited for timber and other resources. Thank you for the post!

  3. Dmitry says:

    Harold, I’m happy to read your work and glad you have chosen the opposition of that which is the trend these days, the infamous global warming myth. Please continue with the research and delivery. I’m sure in less than a decade global warming will be debunked and its believers will feel very silly about the things they believed. If someone doesn’t come up with anything NEW to distract us with that is…

    • Harold Ambler says:

      Thanks for the kind words, Dmitry. The next ten years will be interesting for those of us who follow the climate and the climate wars.

  4. bigpictureguy says:

    Just found your blog today. Great stuff!

    Residents of Saskatoon woke up to the coldest temperatures since 1966
    http://cnews.canoe.ca/CNEWS/Canada/2009/01/04/7915901-cp.html

  5. benny "MOAG" cole says:

    I like your stuff. Been “cold” in Los Angeles lately, by our standards.
    I liked the commentary on Greenlanders. Evidently the Norse found New Foundland did not experience frost in winter. I find that hard to believe, but that is what is reported.
    I wonder what makes highly intelligent people disagree on this matter of AGW?

  6. mj says:

    I have a question. You said, “That pattern was predicted by many people who dispute the overarching power of carbon dioxide to drive temperatures, including myself.”

    Did you mean
    a) that a statistical significant increase in the number (and location?) of cold extremes would occur in the 2008-09 winter?
    b) that we were as likely to see extremes in cold as in warm for the winter of 208-09?
    c) other?

    The reason I ask is that extreme event forecasting is problematic — on a good day :-). Forecasters constantly reminder forecast users that when the occurrence will happen isn’t part of the forecast, only the likelihoods for varying degrees of extremes. Now there can be a confluence of explanatory factors, e.g. the “perfect storm” type conditions, which can lead to forecasting the particular occurrence of an extreme event.

    So I was curious as what you meant, and I could add if it is a) or something like that, could you expand on the why?

    • Harold Ambler says:

      What I meant was that the atmosphere is cooling, as predicted by those who accepted predictions for low solar activity starting more than a year ago. On top of the solar minimum, the switchover of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation to the cool, negative phase also foretold a decline in atmospheric temperatures. There has not been an increase in atmospheric temperature since 1998, the year of the super El Nino, and fairly consistent cooling began seven years ago, according to the aggregate of most-used temperature providers, viewable here an averaged graph: http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/

  7. mj says:

    Gotscha. Thanks.

  8. benny "MOAG" cole says:

    Story today that the State of Washington is enduring its worst winter ever, most snow, etc.

  9. sod says:

    here has not been an increase in atmospheric temperature since 1998, the year of the super El Nino, and fairly consistent cooling began seven years ago, according to the aggregate of most-used temperature providers, viewable here an averaged graph: http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/

    this is cherry picking!

    there has been warming since 1999. why didn t you mention that year?

    http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/wti/plot/wti/from:1999/trend

    • Harold Ambler says:

      Gore’s side can also be accused of cherry-picking, just on a much bigger scale: minimization of the Medieval Warm Period, Little Ice Age, and even the period from 1910 to 1940 — when the rate of warming was greater than at any other time during the recovery from the Little Ice Age (despite the absence of significant rise of manmade CO2, which followed WWII).

      Again and again, Gore’s side touts “the warmest year ever,” “the sixth warmest October ever,” “the third warmest year ever,” and the like. But those of us who don’t see the power of CO2 to drive climate cannot point out that the warmest year ever was more than 10 years ago?

  10. e.m.smith says:

    I’ve noticed that all AlGore has to do is to appear on my TV set and there will be a sudden chill … and snow will start to fall somewhere in the world!

    only 1/2 ;-)

  11. Harold Ambler says:

    Thanks to all for the comments on this post!

    I’m to interview an official from North Dakota this week, where they’ve had 400 percent of normal snowfall in many counties. Together with even stronger-than-usual winds, drifting across highways has been a difficult problem for them.

    Perhaps Mr. Gore dreams of the Peace Garden state while he sleeps. Brrrrrr!

  12. I am on dialysis three days a week, for my life, and the thought of electricity shortages scare the heck out of me! Please speak about the need for plentiful sources of reliable energy viv a vis hospitals and other life supporting institutions. thank you for your work!

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